tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post9152076401051272333..comments2024-03-06T06:34:42.881-05:00Comments on EconoSpeak: The Ultimate Risk: Capital Flight from the DollarUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-30998426610610962592008-11-18T23:07:00.000-05:002008-11-18T23:07:00.000-05:00The number leading banks in USA are also in a crus...The number leading banks in USA are also in a crush. They are waiting for the government's helping hand. Even the automobile sector is also facing financial problems. All the leading industries are waiting for the Bail package that is going to announced by the President.<BR/><BR/>===================================<BR/><BR/>john<BR/><BR/><A HREF="//www.widecircles.com" REL="nofollow"> Social Bookmarking</A>johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04260340046174488371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-90352516105952770712008-10-12T20:56:00.000-04:002008-10-12T20:56:00.000-04:00No relation to Hoagy other than the soothing sound...No relation to Hoagy other than the soothing sound of our voices.<BR/><BR/>What you say sounds perfectly logical. That's what makes me suspicious. <BR/><BR/>The Dollar has been fairly resilient -- although not impervious -- to persistent balance of payments deficits. That might be attributed to the recycling of those deficit Dollar into "investment". A marked closing of the deficit gap might initially relieve the pressure for such recycling. Under the circumstances, I wonder if the magnitude of change is as important as its direction and suddenness. You know, small variations in the initial conditions of complex dynamic systems and all that. Hey, Barkley!Sandwichmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11159060882083015637noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-33985604186698974572008-10-12T19:44:00.000-04:002008-10-12T19:44:00.000-04:00S'wichman (are you any relation to Hoagy Carmichae...S'wichman (are you any relation to Hoagy Carmichael?),<BR/><BR/>Any reduction of the US trade deficit, ceteris paribus, is to be welcomed, but it is hard to see how the rate of change can approach the magnitudes we're talking about in asset shifts. First, US exports are falling in tandem with imports (of course from a lower base); second, it would take a drop of almost 15% of the deficit to yield $100B in reduced financing.<BR/><BR/>A different way to think about it is that the degree of retrenchment in the US sufficient to make a real dent in the deficit (given our MPI) would trigger a panicky capital outflow long before.Peter Dormanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00093399591393648071noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-45944768325904254942008-10-12T18:14:00.000-04:002008-10-12T18:14:00.000-04:00Peter,Couldn't a significant factor in the rebalan...Peter,<BR/>Couldn't a significant factor in the rebalancing be a fall in imports from, particularly, China as American consumers tighten their belts? If the US balance of payments starts to improve rapidly it will shut off the reciprocal nature of the t-bill purchases.Sandwichmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11159060882083015637noreply@blogger.com