tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post9177315270692622133..comments2024-03-06T06:34:42.881-05:00Comments on EconoSpeak: Looking Down Right NowUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger41125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-8822427235283848902020-06-28T10:33:27.224-04:002020-06-28T10:33:27.224-04:00Things are looking down for the Donald
Maureen D...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/27/opinion/sunday/trump-statues-2020-reelection.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> Things are looking down for the Donald </a><br /><br />Maureen Dowd - June 27, 2020<br /><br />... For re-election, Trump is sifting through the embers of the Civil War, promising to protect America from “troublemakers” and “agitators” and “anarchists” rioting, looting and pulling down statues that they find racially offensive. “They said, ‘We want to get Jesus,’” Trump ominously told Sean Hannity Thursday night.<br /><br />But Trump is badly out of step with the national psyche. The actual narrative gripping America is, at long last, about white men in uniforms targeting black and brown people.<br /><br />In the last election, Trump milked white aggrievement to catapult himself into the White House. But even Republicans today recognize that we have to grapple with systemic racism and force some changes in police conduct — except for our president, who hailed stop-and-frisk in the Hannity interview.<br /><br />The other scary narrative is about our “protean” enemy, as Tony Fauci calls Covid-19, which Trump pretends has disappeared, with lethal consequences. With no plan, he is reduced to more race-baiting, calling the virus “the China plague” and the “Kung Flu.” Nasty nicknames don’t work on diseases.<br /><br />The pathogen is roaring back in the South and the West in places that buoyed Trump in 2016. Texas, Florida and Arizona are turning into Covid Calamity Land after many residents emulated their president and scorned masks and social distancing as a Commie hoax.<br /><br />Is Trump’s perverse Southern Strategy to send the older men and women who are a large part of his base to the I.C.U.?<br /><br />The president showed off his sociopathic flair by demanding the repeal of Obamacare — just because he can’t stand that it was done by Barack Obama. Millions losing their jobs and insurance during a plague and he wants to eliminate their alternative? Willful maliciousness.<br /><br />And this at the same time he has been ensuring more infections by lowballing the virus, resisting more testing because the numbers would not be flattering to him, sidelining Dr. Fauci and setting a terrible example.<br /><br />The Dow fell 700 points on the news that Texas and Florida are ordering a Covid-driven last call, closing their bars again, and the virus is revivifying in 30 states. ...<br /><br />It’s not only the virus that Trump is willfully blind about. A Times story that broke Friday evening was extremely disturbing about Trump’s love of Vladimir Putin. American intelligence briefed the president about a Russian military intelligence unit secretly offering bounties to Taliban-linked insurgents for killing coalition troops in Afghanistan, including Americans. Yet Trump has still been lobbying for Putin to rejoin the G7.<br /><br />Trump had a chance, with twin existential crises, to be better after his abominable performance in his first three years. But then, we’ve known all along that he is not interested in science, racial harmony or leading the basest elements of his base out of Dixie and into the 21st century. Yes, the kid from Queens enjoys his newfound status as a son of the Confederacy.<br /><br />A Wall Street Journal editorial Thursday warned that he could be defeated because he has no message beyond personal grievances and “four more years of himself.”<br /><br />But Trump has always been about Trump. And the presidency was always going to distill him to his Trumpiest essence. ...<br />Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-65004184451550030522020-06-26T11:18:46.111-04:002020-06-26T11:18:46.111-04:00A large majority of voters say race should not be ...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/26/us/politics/biden-vice-president-voters.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> A large majority of voters say race should not be a factor in Biden's VP decision </a><br /><br />NY Times - Alexander Burns and Katie Glueck - June 26<br /><br />Joseph R. Biden Jr. appears to face limited political pressure from voters about whom to choose as his running mate, with no contender emerging as a clear favorite and the great majority of people saying that race should not be a factor in his decision, according to polling conducted by The New York Times and Siena College. ...<br /><br />In the Times poll, four in five registered voters said that race shouldn’t be a factor in Mr. Biden’s selection of a running mate. That group included three-quarters of the black voters polled, and more than 8 in 10 white and Hispanic voters.<br /><br />About a fifth of black voters said they would like to see Mr. Biden choose a black running mate. The largest group with that preference was very liberal voters, at 37 percent; 27 percent of voters with postgraduate degrees said the same. ...<br /><br />(Graph at the link.)Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-8591937704505317012020-06-26T07:10:21.648-04:002020-06-26T07:10:21.648-04:00Despite virus and wildfire risks, Trump plans a bi...<a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2020/06/25/despite-virus-and-wildfire-risks-trump-plans-big-fireworks-fund-raiser-mount-rushmore/X9cTHhbuevJqDjGlAeiwcP/story.html?event=event25" rel="nofollow"> Despite virus and wildfire risks, Trump plans a big fireworks fund-raiser at Mount Rushmore </a><br /><br />WASHINGTON — President Trump is planning a massive fireworks display at Mount Rushmore on July 3, despite a decade-long ban on pyrotechnics at the iconic spot because of concerns about public health and environmental and safety risks.<br /><br />Trump has wanted to stage fireworks at the national memorial in South Dakota’s Black Hills since 2018, according to two individuals familiar with the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations. But the idea was scuttled or delayed by a number of his advisers, these individuals said.<br /><br />The National Park Service stopped staging pyrotechnics at Mount Rushmore in 2010 out of concern that they could ignite wildfires during drought conditions. The memorial is surrounded by 1,200 acres of forested land, including ponderosa pines, and lies next to the Black Hills National Forest’s Black Elk Wilderness. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-27178157173845511272020-06-25T16:41:52.166-04:002020-06-25T16:41:52.166-04:00Trump Speaks! And Speaks. And Speaks …
NY Times ...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/24/opinion/trump-tulsa-2020.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> Trump Speaks! And Speaks. And Speaks … </a><br /><br />NY Times - Gail Collins - June 24<br /><br />Donald Trump thinks we’re out to get him.<br /><br />“You could say 10 speeches. One little word, they’ll say: ‘He’s lost it,’” the president complained during a speech in Phoenix this week.<br /><br />That would presumably be an inaccurate little word. Or something very weird, like his claim at a famously underattended event in Tulsa that he’d ordered a slowdown in coronavirus testing to make it seem as if the infection rate was smaller.<br /><br />Desperate presidential spinners said that was just a joke. “I don’t kid,” Trump retorted.<br /><br />Tulsa was, according to the president, the beginning of his re-election campaign. He’s actually shot off the starting gun several times before. But it does feel as if we’re in a new phase. Those big rallies are Trump’s very favorite part of being the leader of the most powerful nation on the globe. He’s been locked down for months now, confined mainly to gatherings in which other people occasionally get to talk.<br /><br />He needs his screaming fans, even if this is a terrible idea, healthwise. Six members of Trump’s advance team got sick while doing the planning, and now at least two other staffers tested positive.<br /><br />You’re not going to get this guy to stay home. He needs to compliment himself in front of thousands of people. Lacing into the Democratic “elite,” Trump assured his audience that he is more elite than anybody. “I look better than them. Much more handsome. Got better hair than they do. I got nicer properties. I got nicer houses. I got nicer apartments. I got nicer everything.”<br /><br />And, for sure, a bigger ego. After he finished raging to his staff about the tiers of empty seats in Tulsa, the president announced the night had been a historical smash hit: “No. 1 show in Fox history for a Saturday night.” ...<br /><br />Still, many of us will remember Tulsa as That Rally Where Two-Thirds Of The Seats Were Empty. His next appearance, in Arizona, was much more Trump’s cup of tea: a megachurch packed with cheering fans who generally ignored all the official pleas for masking. ...<br /><br />Even if they’re a little dodgy on the facts side, the rallies are at least a good way to keep Trump distracted. In Tulsa, he was fretting about the ongoing demonstrations in Seattle. He asked a congressman who was traveling with him on the plane whether he ought to “just go in” and do something to stop the protesters.<br /><br />The reply was: “No, sir, let it simmer for a little while.” Darned good advice, although if he’d gone the other way, maybe the congressman could have added, “And be sure to bring a Bible.”<br /><br />One other thing about that story — it’s an example of how Trump likes to lace his rallies with anecdotes in which people call him “sir.” There were 11 “sirs” in the Tulsa speech alone.<br /><br />Daniel Dale, a CNN reporter who’s been following this tic for a long time, theorized that “sir” was a hint that whatever anecdote Trump was telling was actually fictional. But it’s also pretty clear that the president just loves stories in which people are addressing him as if he were, say, a general.<br /><br />Trump’s been spending a lot of time trying to beat down that image of him at West Point this month, leaving the stage with an old-guy totter down the ramp. The fake news, he insisted, cut off all the film that showed him running — running! — for the last 10 feet. “I looked very handsome,” he observed to the crowd.<br /><br />Later, Trump asked Melania what the reaction to his West Point speech was. She assured him that the media wasn’t saying much about his address but “they mention the fact that you may have Parkinson’s disease.” ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-84378621460723961522020-06-25T16:20:53.693-04:002020-06-25T16:20:53.693-04:00Trump Has Delivered Only Chaos
The Atlantic - Da...<a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/hollow-law-and-order-presidency/612535/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share" rel="nofollow"> Trump Has Delivered Only Chaos </a><br /><br />The Atlantic - David A. Graham - June 2<br /><br />If this is what a law-and-order presidency looks like, what is the alternative?<br /><br />... After nearly a full term in office, Trump has delivered only chaos. Violent protests sweep the streets of cities across the nation, from large to small. Police are rioting, dealing with complaints about brutalizing civilians by brutalizing civilians. Heavily armed militias have invaded state legislatures. Nazis have marched in the streets of a bucolic college town. Mass shootings haunt the nation’s high schools and Walmarts and churches and commercial districts and music festivals and fairs. (To say nothing of more than 100,000 dead from COVID-19 and millions out of work.) If this is what a law-and-order presidency looks like, what is the alternative?<br /><br />The president is not to blame for all these problems, though in many cases he has exacerbated them. But in that same RNC speech, Trump also assured the nation, “I alone can fix it.” It is now clear not only that the problems are larger than one man, but also that Trump is at a loss for how to use the powers he does have to solve them.<br /><br />Law and order was not just a major theme of the convention speech. Throughout the campaign, and again during his inaugural address, Trump vowed that he would bring safety to the streets of the nation. The Obama years had seen extensive protests: in St. Louis, New York, Baltimore, and other cities. They had seen many mass shootings, the most horrifying in Newtown, Connecticut. Though violent crime overall continued its decades-long decline during the Obama presidency, Trump was able to capitalize on fears in the populace, in part by simply lying about crime numbers.<br /><br />The power of the presidency to actually solve all these problems is strictly limited, as Barack Obama had found. He was stymied in his attempts to enact stricter gun controls, and though the Justice Department embarked on some attempts to control police violence, its authority was limited. This is the reality of the presidency: The chief executive has to work with Congress and within the bounds of what courts will allow.<br /><br />Trump insisted that “nobody knows the system better than me,” and adopted a strongman vision of an all-powerful presidency, apparently influenced by his career in business, wherein he could do nearly anything he wanted as head of the Trump Organization. But from the start of his presidency, his naïveté about the system has been on display. His attempts at unilateral moves—such as his Muslim travel ban—quickly ran into resistance from courts. Even a unified Republican Congress wouldn’t give him funding for his border wall.<br /><br />Now, after nearly four years, the shortcomings of Trump’s approach are clear. The country is painfully divided. Police continue to kill black men and women. Mass shootings continue. <br /> ...<br /><br />Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-57227400856862730002020-06-24T14:40:44.831-04:002020-06-24T14:40:44.831-04:00Biden 50%; Trump 36%<a href="https://static01.nyt.com/images/2020/06/23/us/-promo-1592949468987/-promo-1592949468987-threeByTwoSmallAt2X.jpg?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale" rel="nofollow"> Biden 50%; Trump 36% </a>Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-7510918901467783952020-06-24T07:06:00.193-04:002020-06-24T07:06:00.193-04:00... Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump by enormous margins ...... Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump by enormous margins with black and Hispanic voters, and women and young people appear on track to choose Mr. Biden by an even wider margin than they favored Hillary Clinton over Mr. Trump in 2016. But the former vice president has also drawn even with Mr. Trump among male voters, whites and people in middle age and older — groups that have typically been the backbones of Republican electoral success, including Mr. Trump’s in 2016. ...<br /><br />,,, Most stark may be Mr. Biden’s towering advantage among white women with college degrees, who support him over Mr. Trump by 39 percentage points. In 2016, exit polls found that group preferred Mrs. Clinton to Mr. Trump by just 7 percentage points. The poll also found that Mr. Biden has narrowed Mr. Trump’s advantage with less-educated white voters.<br /><br />The exodus of white voters from the G.O.P. has been especially pronounced among younger voters, an ominous trend for a party that was already heavily reliant on older Americans.<br /><br />Fifty-two percent of whites under 45 said they supported Mr. Biden while only 30 percent said they supported Mr. Trump. And their opposition is intense: More than twice as many younger whites viewed the president very unfavorably than very favorably. ...<br /><br /><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/24/us/politics/trump-biden-poll-nyt-upshot-siena-college.html" rel="nofollow"><br />(Graphics at the link) </a>Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-1112484345276427562020-06-24T06:58:48.378-04:002020-06-24T06:58:48.378-04:00Biden Takes Dominant Lead as Voters Reject Trump o...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/24/us/politics/trump-biden-poll-nyt-upshot-siena-college.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> Biden Takes Dominant Lead as Voters Reject Trump on Virus and Race </a><br /><br />NY Times - June 24<br /><br />A New York Times/Siena College poll finds that Joseph R. Biden Jr. is ahead of the president by 14 points, leading among women and nonwhite voters and cutting into his support with white voters.<br /><br /><a href="https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/2020/06/23/junepoll-national-politics/e7e93ab7eb07e16f68ba2763b5b95ce7f4ff5505/all-top-600.jpg" rel="nofollow"><br />Biden 50%; Trump 36%; Other 14%</a><br /><br />Joseph R. Biden Jr. has taken a commanding lead over President Trump in the 2020 race, building a wide advantage among women and nonwhite voters and making deep inroads with some traditionally Republican-leaning groups that have shifted away from Mr. Trump following his ineffective response to the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new national poll of registered voters by The New York Times and Siena College.<br /><br />Mr. Biden is currently ahead of Mr. Trump by 14 percentage points, garnering 50 percent of the vote compared with 36 percent for Mr. Trump. That is among the most dismal showings of Mr. Trump’s presidency, and a sign that he is the clear underdog right now in his fight for a second term.<br /><br />Mr. Trump has been an unpopular president for virtually his entire time in office. He has made few efforts since his election in 2016 to broaden his support beyond the right-wing base that vaulted him into office with only 46 percent of the popular vote and a modest victory in the Electoral College.<br /><br />But among a striking cross-section of voters, the distaste for Mr. Trump has deepened as his administration failed to stop a deadly disease that crippled the economy and then as he responded to a wave of racial-justice protests with angry bluster and militaristic threats. The dominant picture that emerges from the poll is of a country ready to reject a president whom a strong majority of voters regard as failing the greatest tests confronting his administration. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-83959435074176522612020-06-22T14:44:03.960-04:002020-06-22T14:44:03.960-04:00(In other news...)
Japanese Supercomputer Is Cro...(In other news...)<br /><br /><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/22/technology/japanese-supercomputer-fugaku-tops-american-chinese-machines.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> Japanese Supercomputer Is Crowned World’s Speediest </a><br /><br />NY Times - June 22<br /><br />A long-awaited supercomputer called Fugaku, installed in the city of Kobe by the government-sponsored Riken institute, took first place in a twice-yearly speed ranking that was released on Monday. The Japanese machine carried out 2.8 times more calculations a second than an IBM system at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee, which Fugaku bumped to second place in the so-called Top500 list.<br /><br />Another IBM system, at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, slid to third place in the ranking from second, while systems in China moved to the fourth and fifth spots from third and fourth.<br /><br />Supercomputers have become a symbol for both technical and economic competitiveness. The room-size systems are used for complex military and scientific tasks, including breaking codes, modeling climate change and simulating new designs for cars, weapons, aircraft and drugs. Riken has said Fugaku is already being used to help study, diagnose and treat Covid-19.<br /><br />Japan remains a relatively small player in supercomputing. China placed 226 systems in the latest Top500 list; the U.S. total was 114, though they accounted for a greater share of aggregate computing power.<br /><br />But Japan has a long history of pushing the state of the art in computing. A prominent example is the K Supercomputer, its predecessor at Riken, which took the No. 1 spot on the Top500 list in 2011 before being displaced the next year by a system at Livermore.<br /><br />“The predecessor was just a knockout,” said Steve Conway, a veteran analyst of the supercomputer market who is a senior adviser at the firm Hyperion Research. “People are expecting this to be very good also.” ...<br /><br />The machine may also make waves because of its computer chips. Fujitsu, Riken’s partner in developing Fugaku, chose to design processors using the basic technology at the heart of billions of smartphones. It licensed designs from Arm, a company long based in Britain that is now owned by the Japanese conglomerate SoftBank. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-41160011642010821702020-06-22T09:05:43.561-04:002020-06-22T09:05:43.561-04:00Fewer than 6,200 attended Trump rally in Tulsa
v...<a href="https://bostonglobe.com/2020/06/21/nation/trump-was-joking-when-he-complained-about-covid-19-testing-white-house-adviser-says/?event=event25" rel="nofollow"> Fewer than 6,200 attended Trump rally in Tulsa </a><br /><br />via @BostonGlobe<br /> <br />... when Trump thundered that “the silent majority is stronger than ever before,‘' about 1/3 of the seats were empty. ... Tulsa's fire marshal’s office reported ... less than 6200 in the arena.Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-27595173469293156182020-06-22T09:00:42.784-04:002020-06-22T09:00:42.784-04:00The president’s shock at the rows of empty seats i...<a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/06/21/nation/presidents-shock-rows-empty-seats-tulsa/?event=event25" rel="nofollow"> The president’s shock at the rows of empty seats in Tulsa </a><br /><br />NY Times via @BostonGlobe - June 21<br /><br />President Donald Trump and several staff members stood backstage and gazed at the empty Bank of Oklahoma Center in horror.<br /><br />Trump and Vice President Mike Pence had canceled plans at the last minute to speak at an outdoor overflow rally that was almost entirely empty, despite claims of nearly 1 million people registering for tickets to attend the event in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and the president’s false boast of never having an empty seat at one of his events.<br /><br />The president, who had been warned aboard Air Force One that the crowds at the arena were smaller than expected, was stunned, and he yelled at aides backstage while looking at the endless rows of empty blue seats in the upper bowl of the stadium, according to four people familiar with what took place. Brad Parscale, the campaign manager who had put the event together, was not present.<br /><br />Pence spoke just after 6:30 p.m. in Tulsa and then left, the cue for Trump to come on. But there was a delay. Trump’s deputy chief of staff, Dan Scavino, peeked out from behind black curtains to scan the fan-free seats in the top rows.<br /><br />Trump eventually entered the arena for a meandering performance in which he excoriated the “fake news” for reporting on health concerns before his event, used racist language to describe the coronavirus as the “Kung Flu” and spent more than 15 minutes explaining away an unflattering video clip of him gingerly descending a ramp after his commencement speech at West Point. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-47255970186619844812020-06-21T09:16:52.760-04:002020-06-21T09:16:52.760-04:00The rise and fall of North America
Stephen Kinze...<a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/06/21/opinion/rise-fall-north-america/?event=event25" rel="nofollow"> The rise and fall of North America </a><br /><br />Stephen Kinzer - Boston Globe - June 21<br /><br />For the first time in living memory, the continent’s <br />three biggest countries are poorly led.<br /><br />Where is the geographic center of global power? It has shifted over the centuries. Persia, Greece, and Rome created the first empires. After they declined, China emerged to replace them. Around 1500, Europe began the spectacular rise that led it to dominate much of the world. Finally, in the 20th century, power shifted to North America. That brief era may now be ending.<br /><br />One of the main reasons is the declining level of political leadership in North America’s three large countries: Mexico, the United States, and Canada. If well governed, these three countries could take advantage of the rapidly shifting global environment to position North America as an anchor of stability and a model for the world. Instead they are going in the opposite direction. For the first time in living memory, all three are poorly led.<br /><br />The United States, which should by most measures lead this three-nation bloc, is immersed in turmoil for which President Trump bears much blame. President Andrés Manuel López Obrador of Mexico, who began his term in 2018 amid great optimism, has become an object of national ridicule for his failure to focus on pressing national problems — and for his recommendation that Mexicans wear amulets to protect themselves against the raging pandemic. In Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau was also hugely popular when he took office five years ago, but as a result of scandals and missteps, his popularity has dropped below the 50-percent level for the first time. Canada’s fall from international grace was evident last week, when the United Nations rejected its four-year campaign for a seat on the Security Council, selecting Norway and Ireland instead.<br /><br />The political decline of our continent is lamentable to the point of poignancy. Canada, the United States, and Mexico generate enormous wealth. They have the resources to create just and thriving societies. To a certain extent they have succeeded. None is approaching failed-state status. Yet all three seem to have lost their vitality and sense of purpose. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-15781833070660756022020-06-20T23:46:20.756-04:002020-06-20T23:46:20.756-04:00After campaign boasting, a smaller-than-anticipate...<a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/06/20/nation/after-campaign-boasting-smaller-than-anticipated-crowd-attends-rally/?event=event25" rel="nofollow"> After campaign boasting, a smaller-than-anticipated crowd attends rally </a><br /><br />Washington Post via @BostonGlobe - June 20<br /><br />TULSA, Okla. - President Trump’s campaign boasted for days that a million people had requested tickets for his Saturday night rally. The campaign added an outdoor overflow area to accommodate the anticipated massive crowd.<br /><br />But by the time Trump took the stage in Tulsa, there were thousands of empty seats in the arena. The overflow area was scrapped. And aides were left trying to explain why a president who has placed enormous value on his crowd sizes was addressing a smaller-than-expected audience. ...<br /><br />... On Friday, Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale tweeted photos of the outdoor stage being built. "This will be the 1st time that POTUS speaks to BOTH crowds in person - inside & outside. If you come to the rally and don't get into the BOK Center before it's full, you can still see the President in person!" he said.<br /><br />After the outdoor event was canceled, Parscale tweeted: "Radical protesters, fueled by a week of apocalyptic media coverage, interfered with @realDonaldTrump supporters at the rally. They even blocked access to the metal detectors, preventing people from entering. Thanks to the 1,000s who made it anyway!"<br /><br />There were about 6,100 people in the arena, which can hold 19,000, according to the Tulsa Fire Marshals' Office.<br /><br />It's possible Trump and his aides - even Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt, a Republican, was touting the million-person number this week - dramatically exaggerated the demand for tickets. On social media some said there was a prank by teens to sign up for tickets to inflate the anticipated crowd size.<br /><br />"Actually you just got ROCKED by teens on TikTok who flooded the Trump campaign w/ fake ticket reservations & tricked you into believing a million people wanted your white supremacist open mic enough to pack an arena during COVID," tweeted Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-35996413947057139492020-06-20T07:16:07.027-04:002020-06-20T07:16:07.027-04:00How many needless Covid-19 deaths were caused by d...<a href="https://www.statnews.com/2020/06/19/faster-response-prevented-most-us-covid-19-deaths/" rel="nofollow"> How many needless Covid-19 deaths were caused by delays in responding? Most of them </a><br /><br />via @statnews - June 19<br /><br />More than 120,000 Americans have now perished from Covid-19, surpassing the total number of U.S. dead during World War I. Had American leaders taken the decisive, early measures that several other nations took when they had exactly the same information the U.S. did, at exactly the same time in their experience of the novel coronavirus, how many of these Covid-19 deaths could have been prevented?<br /><br />That isn’t a hypothetical question. And the answer that emerges from a direct comparison of the fatalities in and policies of the U.S. and other countries — South Korea, Australia, Germany, and Singapore — indicates that between 70% and 99% of the Americans who died from this pandemic might have been saved by measures demonstrated by others to have been feasible.<br /><br />At least three factors enable meaningful comparisons of these nations with the United States. First, we scaled up their population sizes and Covid-19 deaths to match those of the U.S. Second, in each of these countries, roughly 80% or more of the population lives in urbanized, transmission-prone areas, similar to the U.S. Third, the pandemic took root earlier in these other countries than here, as measured by the date of the 15th confirmed case in each, meaning that foreign leaders had to act with less information to guide their decisions than did U.S. leaders.<br /><br />To compare each country’s responses to the pandemic on a consistent basis, we turned to the work of an Oxford University team that has constructed a stringency index based on 13 policy responses (lockdowns, border closings, tests, etc.) to measure how strongly each country responded over time. The Oxford index shows that 14 days from the date of the 15th confirmed case in each country — a vital early window for action — the U.S. response to the outbreak lagged behind the others by miles. The U.S. stringency score of 5.7 at that point was 25% of Australia’s (23), 23% of Germany’s (25), 18% of Singapore’s (32), and only 15% of South Korea’s (38).<br /><br />Due to exponential viral spread, our delay in action was devastating. In the wake of the U.S. response, 117,858 Americans died in the four months following the first 15 confirmed cases. After an equivalent period, Germany suffered only 8,863 casualties. Scaling up the German population of 83.7 million to America’s 331 million, a U.S.-sized Germany would have suffered 35,049 Covid-19 deaths. So if the U.S. had acted as effectively as Germany, 70% of U.S. coronavirus deaths might have been prevented.<br /><br />Seventy percent, though, is the most conservative estimate. Scaled-up versions of South Korea, Australia, and Singapore would have experienced 1,758, 1,324, and 1,358 deaths, respectively, in the four months after 15 cases were confirmed in each country. Had we handled the coronavirus as effectively as any of these three countries, roughly 99% of the 117,858 U.S. Covid-19 deaths might have been averted. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-12301390148961768952020-06-19T13:05:16.463-04:002020-06-19T13:05:16.463-04:00Tulsa mayor imposes curfew ahead of Trump's ra...<a href="http://a.msn.com/01/en-us/BB15ILz4?ocid=st2" rel="nofollow"> Tulsa mayor imposes curfew ahead of Trump's rally </a><br /><br />WASHINGTON – The mayor of Tulsa, Oklahoma, imposed a curfew ahead of President Donald Trump's campaign rally there, <b> prompting officers to move out supporters who had been camping out in front of the arena.</b><br /><br />Mayor G. T. Bynum announced the order Thursday evening, citing the expected crowds of more than 100,000, the planned protests and the civil unrest that has already erupted in the city and around the nation this month. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-77322347723958681562020-06-19T11:51:08.531-04:002020-06-19T11:51:08.531-04:00Trump issues thinly veiled threat to protesters in...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/19/us/juneteenth-2020.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage#link-7cd30b1f" rel="nofollow"> Trump issues thinly veiled threat to protesters in Tulsa </a><br /><br />NY Times - June 19<br /><br />President Trump on Friday morning issued a thinly veiled threat to individuals who want to protest his campaign rally scheduled for Saturday evening in Tulsa, Okla., writing on Twitter: “Any protesters, anarchists, agitators, looters or lowlifes who are going to Oklahoma please understand, you will not be treated like you have been in New York, Seattle, or Minneapolis. It will be a much different scene!”<br /><br />In his tweet, Mr. Trump drew no distinction between peaceful protesters, whose right to assemble and speak out is protected by the First Amendment, and violent looters, some of whom were responsible for vandalism and fires that broke out during mass protests across the country where tens of thousands of people took to the streets to express outrage over the killing of George Floyd.<br /><br />The rally in Tulsa, scheduled for the day after the Juneteenth holiday, will mark Mr. Trump’s return to the campaign trail after the coronavirus pandemic deprived him for three months of the arenas packed with die-hard fans that serve as the cornerstone of his political brand.<br /><br />His return to campaign mode comes as the country grapples with its racist history, a legacy of violence that is painfully significant in Tulsa, the site of a 1921 race massacre in which up to 300 people were killed and hundreds of homes and businesses were destroyed in a historic black neighborhood. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-68996374207685812252020-06-19T10:54:33.233-04:002020-06-19T10:54:33.233-04:00Twitter labels President Trump’s tweet about ‘raci...<a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/06/19/business/twitter-labels-president-trumps-tweet-about-racist-baby-manipulated/?event=event25" rel="nofollow"> Twitter labels President Trump’s tweet about ‘racist baby’ as ‘manipulated’ </a>Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-34258789834013216662020-06-19T10:51:21.130-04:002020-06-19T10:51:21.130-04:00Twitter labels President Trump’s tweet about ‘raci...<a rel="nofollow"> Twitter labels President Trump’s tweet about ‘racist baby’ as ‘manipulated’ </a><br /><br />NY Times (via Boston Globe) - June 19<br /><br />Twitter added a warning to a post from President Donald Trump about a racist baby on Thursday, saying it contained manipulated media designed to mislead people.<br /><br />Trump’s tweet, which he posted earlier Thursday, featured a video of two toddlers running down a sidewalk. The video had been altered to appear as if CNN had broadcast it, along with a fake chyron that claimed, “Racist baby probably a Trump voter.” The video went on to accuse “fake news” of stoking misinformation. ...<br /><br />Twitter added the warning later Thursday after the tweet had been viewed nearly 4 million times, tagging it with an exclamation mark and the words “manipulated media.” The company’s policies prohibit sharing videos, photos or audio that “have been deceptively altered or fabricated” to trick viewers and have the potential to cause harm. It was the first time Twitter used that particular label on one of Trump’s posts. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-88631615745034453082020-06-19T10:44:10.328-04:002020-06-19T10:44:10.328-04:00... After more than three years of the Trump presi...<b> ... After more than three years of the Trump presidency, <br />it has become easy to forget at times just how out of the <br />ordinary it really is. ... what was once shocking now <br />seems like just another day. ... </b>Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-28641159767363414082020-06-19T10:14:38.583-04:002020-06-19T10:14:38.583-04:00Seizing the Presidency to Suit His Own Needs
NY ...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/18/us/politics/trump-bolton.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> Seizing the Presidency to Suit His Own Needs </a><br /><br />NY Times - Peter Baker - June 18, 2020<br /><br />One day in the summer of 2018, John R. Bolton commiserated with John F. Kelly over the burdens of working for President Trump. Mr. Kelly, then the White House chief of staff, had just had another argument with the president in trying to stop him from using the power of his office to punish a political foe. It did not go well.<br /><br />“Has there ever been a presidency like this?” Mr. Kelly asked plaintively.<br /><br />“I assured him there had not,” Mr. Bolton recalls in his new book.<br /><br />That is self-evidently true and yet it bears repeating every once in a while. After more than three years of the Trump presidency, it has become easy to forget at times just how out of the ordinary it really is. The normalization of Mr. Trump’s norm-busting, line-crossing, envelope-pushing administration has meant that what was once shocking now seems like just another day. ...<br /><br />The portrait he draws in “The Room Where It Happened,” due out Tuesday, is of a president who sees his office as an instrument to advance his own personal and political interests over those of the nation. That is what got Mr. Trump impeached in the first place, but the book asserts his Ukraine scheming was no one-off. The line between policy and politics, generally murky in any White House, has been all but erased in Mr. Bolton’s telling.<br /><br />Decisions on trade, foreign policy, national security, law enforcement and other issues are fashioned through the prism of what it will mean for Mr. Trump. Other presidents at least maintained the notion that there was a difference between presidential duty and campaign imperative, but as Mr. Bolton describes it, Mr. Trump sees little need for pretense. ...<br /><br />In this portrayal, an “erratic,” “impulsive” and “stunningly uninformed” Mr. Trump could make “irrational” decisions and “saw conspiracies behind rocks.” In an interview to promote his book, Mr. Bolton <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/bolton-trumps-fit-office-competence-carry-job/story?id=71311306" rel="nofollow">told ABC News</a> this week that he had concluded that Mr. Trump was not “fit for office” and did not have “the competence to carry out the job.” ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-48225965329431871412020-06-17T16:03:05.078-04:002020-06-17T16:03:05.078-04:00Mr. Pence is vice president of the United States. ...<a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/vice-president-mike-pence-op-ed-isnt-coronavirus-second-wave/" rel="nofollow"> Mr. Pence is vice president of the United States. </a><br /><br />This op-ed appeared in The Wall Street Journal on June 16, 2020<br /><br />In recent days, the media has taken to sounding the alarm bells over a “second wave” of coronavirus infections. Such panic is overblown. Thanks to the leadership of President Trump and the courage and compassion of the American people, our public health system is far stronger than it was four months ago, and we are winning the fight against the invisible enemy.<br /><br />While talk of an increase in cases dominates cable news coverage, more than half of states are actually seeing cases decline or remain stable. Every state, territory and major metropolitan area, with the exception of three, have positive test rates under 10%. And in the six states that have reached more than 1,000 new cases a day, increased testing has allowed public health officials to identify most of the outbreaks in particular settings—prisons, nursing homes and meatpacking facilities—and contain them.<br /><br />Lost in the coverage is the fact that today less than 6% of Americans tested each week are found to have the virus. Cases have stabilized over the past two weeks, with the daily average case rate across the U.S. dropping to 20,000—down from 30,000 in April and 25,000 in May. And in the past five days, deaths are down to fewer than 750 a day, a dramatic decline from 2,500 a day a few weeks ago—and a far cry from the 5,000 a day that some were predicting.<br /><br />The truth is that we’ve made great progress over the past four months, and it’s a testament to the leadership of President Trump. When the president asked me to chair the White House Coronavirus Task Force at the end of February, he directed us to pursue not only a whole-of-government approach but a whole-of-America approach. The president brought together major commercial labs to expand our testing capacity, manufacturers to produce much-needed medical equipment, and major pharmaceutical companies to begin research on new medicines and vaccines. He rallied the American people to embrace social-distancing guidelines. And the progress we’ve made is remarkable. ...<br /><br />(Yadda. Yadda. Yadda.)<br />Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-16586602728185989102020-06-17T15:38:46.653-04:002020-06-17T15:38:46.653-04:00Pence dismisses fears of a second wave. Fauci warn...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/17/world/coronavirus-live-updates.html" rel="nofollow"> <br />Pence dismisses fears of a second wave. Fauci warns the country is still in the first wave. </a><br /><br />Vice President Mike Pence <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/there-isnt-a-coronavirus-second-wave-11592327890" rel="nofollow">argued</a> in a Wall Street Journal opinion piece that concern over a “second wave” of the coronavirus was “overblown” and that “we are winning the fight against the invisible enemy.” Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the government’s top epidemiologist, also said that the country was not in a “second wave,” but for a very different reason: he warned that the nation was still in the first wave.<br /><br />“People keep talking about a second wave,” Mr. Fauci <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/fauci-warns-of-coronavirus-resurgence-if-states-dont-adhere-to-safety-guidelines-11592338771" rel="nofollow">said in an interview</a> with The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday. That is not accurate, he said, because “we’re still in a first wave.”<br /><br />Mr. Pence’s argument appears to have oversimplified a complicated picture, emphasizing regions where the pandemic is waning while explaining away surging infection rates in other states. His rosy picture conformed with President Trump’s desire to reopen the economy and get Americans back to work, but it ignored bad news, especially in the Sun Belt.<br /><br />In at least 20 states, new cases are increasing, some at alarming rates. Some states, including Texas, South Carolina and Arizona, are seeing their largest surges yet, according to <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html" rel="nofollow">data compiled</a> by The New York Times.Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-41448669607439586292020-06-17T14:25:42.481-04:002020-06-17T14:25:42.481-04:00The Rich Cut Their Spending. That Has Hurt All the...<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/17/upshot/coronavirus-spending-rich-poor.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> The Rich Cut Their Spending. That Has Hurt All the Workers Who Count on It. </a> <br /><br />NY Times - June 16<br /><br />... Economists at the Harvard-based research group Opportunity Insights estimate that the highest-earning quarter of Americans has been responsible for about half of the decline in consumption during this recession. And that has <a href="https://opportunityinsights.org/paper/tracker/" rel="nofollow">wreaked havoc</a> on the lower-wage service workers on the other end of many of their transactions, the researchers say.<br /><br />“One of the things this crisis has made salient is how interdependent our health was,” said Michael Stepner, an economist at the University of Toronto. “We’re seeing the mirror of that on the economic side.”<br /><br />As income inequality has grown in America, so has <a href="https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.30.2.3" rel="nofollow">inequality in consumption</a>. That means that when the rich spend money, they drive more of the economy than they did 50 years ago. And more workers depend on them.<br /><br />Put another way, this particular economic shock — one that has halted much in-person spending, even by rich people who never lost their jobs — has been devastating for an economy in which many low-wage workers count on high-income people spending money.<br /><br />Mr. Stepner and the economists Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren and John Friedman have collected data from credit card processors, payroll firms and other private companies <a href="https://tracker.opportunityinsights.org/" rel="nofollow">tracking how and where</a> people spend their money, and how businesses and their workers have been affected as a result. By tying debit and credit card spending back to the home ZIP codes of millions of anonymized cardholders, they estimate that households in the bottom quarter of ZIP codes by income cut their spending by about 30 percent from pre-coronavirus levels at the lowest point in late March. Now, with the help of government stimulus, low-income spending is down only about 5 percent. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-84139020580020699342020-06-16T08:37:59.369-04:002020-06-16T08:37:59.369-04:00(Is this anything?)
NOAA Chief Violated Ethics C...(Is this anything?)<br /><br /><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/15/climate/noaa-sharpiegate-ethics-violation.html?smid=tw-share" rel="nofollow"> NOAA Chief Violated Ethics Code in Furor Over Trump Tweet, Agency Says </a><br /><br />NY Times - June 15, 2020<br /><br />WASHINGTON — The head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration violated the agency’s code of ethics in the fall when he rebuked employees for contradicting President Trump’s inaccurate claim that a hurricane would hit Alabama, NOAA said Monday in a report.<br /><br />Neil Jacobs, NOAA’s acting administrator, “engaged in the misconduct intentionally, knowingly, or in reckless disregard” for the agency’s scientific integrity policy, according to a panel commissioned by the agency to investigate complaints against him.<br /><br />On Sept. 1, Mr. Trump wrote on Twitter that Hurricane Dorian, which was then approaching the East Coast of the United States, would hit Alabama “harder than anticipated.” A few minutes later, the National Weather Service office in Birmingham, Ala., which is part of NOAA, posted on Twitter: “Alabama will NOT see any impacts from Dorian. We repeat, no impacts from Hurricane Dorian will be felt across Alabama.”<br /><br />Alabama was not struck by the hurricane.<br /><br />Five days later, Dr. Jacobs’ office issued an unsigned statement calling the Birmingham office’s Twitter posting “inconsistent with probabilities from the best forecast products available at the time.”<br /><br />That unsigned statement turned out to be the result of pressure from the White House on Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, who oversees NOAA and who threatened to fire the political staff at NOAA unless the contradiction of Mr. Trump was addressed. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4900303239154048192.post-56908869104109468722020-06-15T23:15:19.564-04:002020-06-15T23:15:19.564-04:00(If we just cut back on testing, all will be bette...(If we just cut back on testing, all will be better soon enuf, fer sher.)<br /><br /><a href="https://reut.rs/2Y7glZb" rel="nofollow"> New projection puts US COVID-19 deaths at over 200,000 by October </a><br /><br />(Reuters) - A new forecast projects 201,129 deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States through the beginning of October mainly due to reopening measures under way, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington said on Monday.<br /><br />The IHME raised its estimate by 18 percent from 169,890 and said Florida would be among the hardest hit states, with an estimated 18,675 deaths, up 186 percent from a previous estimate of 6,559 on June 10. ...Fred C. Dobbsnoreply@blogger.com