Friday, June 10, 2016

Californians, Your Votes Don't Count!

Update: It is hard to tell exactly what is going on here. According to a pdf from the Secretary of State, as of 9:10 a.m. today, approximately 2,640.855 ballots remain uncounted. The total I gave below of 873,242 is based on the total reported number of presidential ballots cast minus the vote totals for all of the candidates. As Bruce Webb mentions in comments, Los Angeles and Orange counties do indeed have a large share of that 2.6 million -- some 822,000 + but that still leaves  a half dozen or so counties with over 100,000 uncounted ballots each, etc.

According to the California secretary of state's office, as of 11:04 a.m., June 10, 2016, a total of 873,242 votes from the June 7 presidential primary -- about 13.7% of the votes cast -- remain uncounted. A little more than 68% of the votes already counted were in the Democratic primary. If the party affiliation of the uncounted votes are proportional to those already counted, approximately 570,674 Democratic primary votes remain uncounted.

Given Hillary Clinton's lead of 456,699 among counted votes, it is unlikely the final count will affect who "won" the state but since delegates are assigned proportional to votes, it may well affect the number of delegates each candidate received from California.

Nothing to see here, move along.
AP already made it clear that Californians' votes don't count by proclaiming Hillary Clinton the presumptive nominee the night before the California primary.
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4 comments:

  1. UnknownJune 10, 2016 at 4:54 PM

    http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2016-primary/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf


    The problem is that delegate allocation is by district and most of the unprocessed ballots are concentrated in LA and Orange County where Hillary won convincingly. Unless there are reasons to believe the early and provisional ballots (which is what these are) are concentrated in particular CD's I don't see that you would get any delegate effect even if Statewide margins narrowed. And no reason to believe that would happen anyway.

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  2. ProGrowthLiberalJune 10, 2016 at 6:16 PM

    Thanks Bruce. We had the same claims about votes here in Brooklyn. It turns out that everyone who showed up got at least a provisional ballot and their day in court. And the court hearings note a lot of these people never registered. I suspect there was a lot of disinformation in this campaign. Look - states playing games with voting is a real issue but we should not make false claims just because the other candidate overwhelming won. One may not like Clinton but she got a lot more votes than Sanders. Let's concentrate our efforts at real voting suppression.

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  3. SandwichmanJune 10, 2016 at 7:40 PM

    No false claims here. This is California Secretary of State info. What AP did is not a false claim, it is what they did. Who knows what their intent was? But the effect would surely be to discourage some voters, especially if the voting procedures were onerous and/or unfamiliar.

    Of course, everything is only speculation until the corporate media puts its stamp of approval on what it wants you to think is the way things are going to be. Any connection between the political establishment, Wall Street bankers and the corporate media is conjectural and the idea that they would collude in any way to advance their financial interest is downright conspiracy theory.

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  4. CirzeJune 10, 2016 at 11:09 PM

    Hear! Hear!

    And on to the next.

    Any connection between the political establishment, Wall Street bankers and the corporate media is conjectural and the idea that they would collude in any way to advance their financial interest is downright conspiracy theory.

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