As of Friday, the Emerson poll shows Cuccinelli only 2 points behind McAuliffe. I fear my piece on short term memory may be too real. A week ago, MacAuliffe would have massively beaten Cuccinelli. Now the Cooch may win. He is running ads hard on the failed rollout of the Obamacare exchanges, which has totally dominated the news all week. No more government shutdown by Republican Tea Partiers in the public mind, now it is Obama incompetence, and the Cooch is running it hard. That ACA will probably get straightened out eventually does not matter. What matters is the perception right now, and that is not good for the Dems.
I also fear that all those polls showing Mac so far ahead may induce complacency, while the Cooch's supporters are fired up and have momentum. This is going to be very close in the end.
Oh, and of course this trend means that in the AG race Obenshain is probably well in the lead now, although I have seen no polls in the last few days on that one. Heck, Jackson might even pull through, although that still seems unlikely.